Since January, gold has surged nearly 20%, and traders everywhere are asking the same question: how high can it go from here?
Geopolitical and economic turbulence has always played a pivotal role in pushing gold prices higher. When markets get shaky, gold shines—and that’s exactly what’s happening right now.
Tariff risks, falling confidence in the U.S. dollar , and the potential for prolonged stagflation are driving investors into safe havens. With central banks, including the Federal Reserve, shifting toward a more dovish stance , lower interest rates are making gold even more attractive. When real yields fall, the opportunity cost of holding gold drops, encouraging even more demand.
If this all feels familiar, that’s because it is.
During the 1970s—a decade marked by inflation, oil shocks, and geopolitical instability—gold dramatically outperformed the stock market. While equities were volatile and mostly flat from 1970 to 1980, gold soared from $35 per ounce in 1971 to $850 per ounce by 1980—a staggering 2,329% return.
Realistic Price Targets
Now, let’s be honest: a 2,000% return today would push gold well over $50,000, which is completely unrealistic. Even a 1,000% would take gold above $25,000, a stretch.
But based on historical trends, a more grounded projection might be $5,000. In the 1970s, gold had two major takeoff phases—first doubling between 1970 and 1972, pulling back and then rising another 80% between 1972 and 1973 before a more significant pullback (see chart below).
If we apply that same pattern to today’s base of $2,600, hitting $5,000 by year-end isn’t out of the question—especially if trade tensions escalate.
The 1970s vs. Today: A Striking Parallel
The conditions back then mirror today’s market in many ways. The breakdown of the Bretton Woods system, high inflation, and political unrest laid the groundwork for gold’s massive rally.
Now, inflation concerns, central bank interventions, trade wars, and geopolitical instability are creating a similar environment. Gold is once again the go-to hedge during uncertain times.
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???? FREE access to ZIP & ALL Trade Ideas with 8cap https://bit.ly/3u7leUK
???? GET 71% OFF with Futures Prop with APEX! USE CODE "BKSAVE" https://bit.ly/bkapex
Socials:
???? Meta Threads & IG ???? http://threads.net/@forexmacroqueen
???? Official twitter ???? twitter.com/kathylienfx
???? Free Discord Community ???? https://bit.ly/discord_bkroom
Don't miss out on this opportunity to learn from my experiences and start your journey toward profitable trading!
--------
***THE LINKS IN THIS DESCRIPTION ARE AFFILIATE LINKS. I DO BENEFIT FINANCIALLY WHEN YOU CLICK THESE LINKS AND SIGN UP WITH PARTNERS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. NEVER INVEST MORE THAN YOU’RE WILLING TO LOSE.
*Futures, forex and CFD trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the investor’s initial investment. Only risk capital—money that can be lost without jeopardizing one’s financial security or lifestyle—should be used for trading and only those individuals with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Nothing contained herein is a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell futures, options, or forex. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CFTC RULE 4.41
HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Geopolitical and economic turbulence has always played a pivotal role in pushing gold prices higher. When markets get shaky, gold shines—and that’s exactly what’s happening right now.
Tariff risks, falling confidence in the U.S. dollar , and the potential for prolonged stagflation are driving investors into safe havens. With central banks, including the Federal Reserve, shifting toward a more dovish stance , lower interest rates are making gold even more attractive. When real yields fall, the opportunity cost of holding gold drops, encouraging even more demand.
If this all feels familiar, that’s because it is.
During the 1970s—a decade marked by inflation, oil shocks, and geopolitical instability—gold dramatically outperformed the stock market. While equities were volatile and mostly flat from 1970 to 1980, gold soared from $35 per ounce in 1971 to $850 per ounce by 1980—a staggering 2,329% return.
Realistic Price Targets
Now, let’s be honest: a 2,000% return today would push gold well over $50,000, which is completely unrealistic. Even a 1,000% would take gold above $25,000, a stretch.
But based on historical trends, a more grounded projection might be $5,000. In the 1970s, gold had two major takeoff phases—first doubling between 1970 and 1972, pulling back and then rising another 80% between 1972 and 1973 before a more significant pullback (see chart below).
If we apply that same pattern to today’s base of $2,600, hitting $5,000 by year-end isn’t out of the question—especially if trade tensions escalate.
The 1970s vs. Today: A Striking Parallel
The conditions back then mirror today’s market in many ways. The breakdown of the Bretton Woods system, high inflation, and political unrest laid the groundwork for gold’s massive rally.
Now, inflation concerns, central bank interventions, trade wars, and geopolitical instability are creating a similar environment. Gold is once again the go-to hedge during uncertain times.
⚡JOIN OUR FREE TRADING COMMUNITY https://go.bktraders.com/join
⚡Learn Forex Fundamentals Course https://bit.ly/funda_1daysale
???? Big Discount to BKTraders https://bksignals.com/ytoffer
???? FREE access to ZIP & ALL Trade Ideas with 8cap https://bit.ly/3u7leUK
???? GET 71% OFF with Futures Prop with APEX! USE CODE "BKSAVE" https://bit.ly/bkapex
Socials:
???? Meta Threads & IG ???? http://threads.net/@forexmacroqueen
???? Official twitter ???? twitter.com/kathylienfx
???? Free Discord Community ???? https://bit.ly/discord_bkroom
Don't miss out on this opportunity to learn from my experiences and start your journey toward profitable trading!
--------
***THE LINKS IN THIS DESCRIPTION ARE AFFILIATE LINKS. I DO BENEFIT FINANCIALLY WHEN YOU CLICK THESE LINKS AND SIGN UP WITH PARTNERS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. NEVER INVEST MORE THAN YOU’RE WILLING TO LOSE.
*Futures, forex and CFD trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the investor’s initial investment. Only risk capital—money that can be lost without jeopardizing one’s financial security or lifestyle—should be used for trading and only those individuals with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Nothing contained herein is a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell futures, options, or forex. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CFTC RULE 4.41
HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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